Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Away · model win chance 30%
80
Home · model win chance 70%
87
Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $6 · M.A.C. Center, Kent, OH · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Eastern Kentucky vs. Kent State prediction: model has Kent State by 6

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Eastern Kentucky visits Kent State (1-2) at M.A.C. Center in Kent Monday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes Kent State a 6.3-point favorite, projecting an 87-80 final, and gives Kent State a 70% chance to win.

Players to watch: Chansey Willis Jr. of Kent State, 12.2 points a game; Latif Diouf of Kent State, 10.3 points a game; Cameron Williams of Kent State, 5.6 points a game.

Kent State traveled about 514 miles to Kent.

Antonio Gates averaged 20.6 points and scored 640 points as a Kent State senior before becoming a three-time first-team All-Pro tight end with the San Diego Chargers.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:00 AM ET
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 8030% to win Kent State Golden Flashes 8770% to win
KENT -6.3model spread
167.0model total
74possessions

No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

EKUKENT
Net rating-7.7 #256-4.7 #217
Offense102.8 #233109.6 #113
Defense110.5 #267114.3 #330
Tempo73.0 #4771.5 #102
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Eastern Kentucky Colonelsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Kent State Golden Flashes4514same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
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