Robert Morris Colonials
Away · model win chance 10%
61
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $8
· Savage Arena, Toledo, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETTOL -15.7model spread
138.0model total
68possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Austin Parks TOL · C
+6.8#4 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Sean Jones TOL · G
+1.3#34 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Jaylan Ouwinga TOL · F
+2.5#15 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| RMU | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -13.5 #318 | +4.1 #122 |
| Offense | 94.6 #338 | 107.4 #148 |
| Defense | 108.1 #218 | 103.3 #125 |
| Tempo | 68.1 #302 | 70.6 #170 |
| Games this season | 3 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris Colonials | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Toledo Rockets | 4 | 53 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.