Toledo beat Detroit Mercy 85-72 on the road in Detroit.
Omaha, Nebraska, native Mynor Strong led Toledo with 22 points. Ayden Carter had 12 points for Detroit Mercy. Saint Marys, Ohio, native Austin Parks led all players with 8 rebounds for Toledo.
Toledo committed 8 turnovers to Detroit Mercy's 16. Toledo covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 1.7 points.
In the NBA, former Toledo player Ryan Rollins had 8 points and 10 rebounds for the Bucks the night before.
Off the court, Toledo claims Michael Sallah: Michael Sallah, a University of Toledo journalism graduate, shared the 2004 Pulitzer Prize for Investigative Reporting with two fellow reporters for a series on Tiger Force.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy prediction: model has Toledo by 11
Toledo (1-3) visits Detroit Mercy at Calihan Hall in Detroit Saturday at 4 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Toledo a 11.3-point favorite, projecting a 78-67 final, and gives Toledo a 83% chance to win. The betting market has Toledo favored by 10.5 with a total of 153.5. The model leans Toledo -10.5 and Under 153.5.
Players to watch: Jaylan Ouwinga of Toledo, 12.2 points a game; Sean Jones of Toledo, 8.5 points a game; Will James Jr. of Toledo, 4.3 points a game.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+9.0
153.0
our snapshots
Latest
+12.0
162.5
11011
-100000
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
+10.5
153.5
425
-575
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin -13 (home)ATS TOL coveredTotal 157 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
TOL
3
53
1
same
DETM
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
