Away · model win chance 92%
83
Bucknell Bison
Home · model win chance 8%
66
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Tickets from $43 · Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 12:30 PM ET
Akron Zips 8392% to win Bucknell Bison 668% to win
AKR -16.8model spread
148.9model total
70possessions

No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

AKRBUCK
Net rating+5.9 #104-23.5 #361
Offense108.4 #12895.2 #328
Defense102.5 #106118.7 #358
Tempo71.1 #12969.1 #262
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Akron Zips2242same
Bucknell Bisonnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
+ Add dispatch