Western Michigan vs. Southern Indiana Screaming prediction: model has Western Michigan by 4
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Western Michigan (3-1) visits Southern Indiana Screaming at Liberty Arena (IN) in Evansville Sunday at 4:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Western Michigan a 4.2-point favorite, projecting a 69-65 final, and gives Western Michigan a 64% chance to win. The betting market has Western Michigan favored by 7.5 with a total of 139.5. The model leans Southern Indiana Screaming +7.5 and Under 139.5.
Players to watch: Rob Lee Jr. of Western Michigan, 10.3 points a game; Adam Harakow of Western Michigan, 8.3 points a game; Julien Gomez of Western Michigan, 7.4 points a game.
Western Michigan is playing its second straight road game.
Steve Hawkins coached Western Michigan for 17 seasons from 2003 to 2020 and won 291 games, a total topped at the school only by Buck Read's 345.
Model makes it WMU -4.2; the market says WMU -7.5. That is 3.3 points of daylight toward USI, a strong lean on the underdog.
Under 139.54.9
Model total 134.6 against a market 139.5: a strong lean to the under by 4.9.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
WMU
USI
Net rating
+2.5 #136
-9.2 #276
Offense
107.3 #151
94.6 #336
Defense
104.8 #153
103.8 #131
Tempo
67.9 #311
70.2 #196
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
