Morehead State Eagles
Away · model win chance 12%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $14
· Convocation Center (OH), Athens, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 12:30 PM ETOHIO -14.2model spread
155.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Dusan Makitan OHIO · F
+4.4#15 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Jackson Paveletzke OHIO · G
+1.4#29 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Siebe Ledegen OHIO · G
-0.1#68 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MORE | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.5 #326 | +0.7 #148 |
| Offense | 104.2 #206 | 107.8 #142 |
| Defense | 118.8 #359 | 107.0 #196 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #321 | 71.4 #111 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morehead State Eagles | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Ohio Bobcats | 4 | 266 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.