Denver Pioneers
Away · model win chance 28%
66
Preview · Sat 11/21, 1 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $20
· Gervin GameAbove Center, Ypsilanti, MI
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETEMU -7.1model spread
138.0model total
67possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mohammad Habhab EMU · F
+4.8#11 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Jaiden Martin EMU · G
+1.9#22 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Jabri Fitzpatrick EMU · G
+2.4#16 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| DEN | EMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.8 #248 | -1.7 #172 |
| Offense | 101.6 #259 | 102.7 #235 |
| Defense | 108.4 #229 | 104.4 #142 |
| Tempo | 69.4 #248 | 68.2 #301 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 2 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.