Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Home · model win chance 38%
66
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $20
· Knott Arena, Emmitsburg, MD
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETWMU -3.8model spread
135.6model total
68possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Adam Harakow WMU · G
+3.5#18 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Julien Gomez WMU · G
+1.9#21 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Rob Lee Jr. WMU · G
+2.9#14 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WMU | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +2.5 #136 | -8.4 #267 |
| Offense | 107.3 #151 | 94.6 #337 |
| Defense | 104.8 #153 | 103.0 #120 |
| Tempo | 67.9 #311 | 71.0 #146 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan Broncos | 4 | 782 | same |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.