Maine Black Bears
Away · model win chance 14%
60
Preview · Sat 11/21, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $30
· Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 12:30 PM ETMASS -12.8model spread
133.9model total
70possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Abdullah Ahmed MASS · F
+6.6#5 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Junjie Wang MASS · F
-0.2#80 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Dwayne Wimbley Jr. MASS · F
+2.3#19 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ME | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.0 #299 | +0.9 #146 |
| Offense | 93.7 #345 | 102.5 #243 |
| Defense | 105.7 #168 | 101.6 #90 |
| Tempo | 69.5 #240 | 70.7 #161 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Massachusetts Minutemen | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.