Dayton Flyers
Home · model win chance 50%
76
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+, Spectrum News 1
· Tickets from $11
· UD Arena, Dayton, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETDAY PKmodel spread
152.7model total
70possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Conrad Luczynski CMU · C
+4.7#12 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Jalen Kampen CMU · G
+1.1#40 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Keenan Garner CMU · F
+2.4#18 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CMU | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +1.7 #140 | -3.7 #201 |
| Offense | 106.8 #162 | 107.9 #137 |
| Defense | 105.1 #158 | 111.6 #283 |
| Tempo | 69.3 #254 | 70.7 #168 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 2 | 52 | same |
| Dayton Flyers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.