Away · model win chance 16%
65
Pittsburgh Panthers
Home · model win chance 84%
76
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ACCNX · Tickets from $15 · Petersen Events Center, Pittsburgh, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 12:30 PM ET
Central Michigan Chippewas 6516% to win Pittsburgh Panthers 7684% to win
PITT -11.8model spread
141.0model total
68possessions

No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CMUPITT
Net rating+1.7 #140+13.5 #66
Offense106.8 #162109.8 #108
Defense105.1 #15896.3 #35
Tempo69.3 #25469.5 #243
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Central Michigan Chippewas2227same
Pittsburgh Panthersnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
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