Florida State Seminoles
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Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ACCNX
· Tickets from $6
· Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 12:30 PM ETFSU -25.5model spread
146.2model total
71possessions
No line yet. MAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mason Jones BALL · F
-0.1#70 overall in MAC
Offensive engine
Javion Guy-King BALL · G
-0.3#86 offense in MAC
Defensive anchor
Sean Blake BALL · G
-1.2#94 defense in MAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated MAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BALL | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.0 #320 | +16.5 #49 |
| Offense | 93.4 #346 | 116.6 #43 |
| Defense | 107.4 #207 | 100.1 #70 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #318 | 73.7 #29 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 3 | 754 | same |
| Florida State Seminoles | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.