Arkansas State Red Wolves
Neutral · model win chance 60%
83
Preview · Mon 11/23, 3:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Ocean Bank Convocation Center, Miami, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ETARST -3.0model spread
163.2model total
76possessions
No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jaiden Feroah SUU · F
+2.9#7 overall in Big Sky
Offensive engine
Cale Barclay SUU · F
+2.8#6 offense in Big Sky
Defensive anchor
JaJuan Nicholls SUU · F
+1.3#15 defense in Big Sky
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ARST | SUU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.0 #203 | -7.8 #259 |
| Offense | 101.4 #264 | 105.4 #177 |
| Defense | 105.4 #163 | 113.2 #315 |
| Tempo | 74.7 #15 | 72.0 #83 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | non-Big Sky team, not tracked | ||
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 3 | 1,113 | +2 h |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.