Utah State Aggies
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105
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $19
· Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ETUSU -35.1model spread
175.1model total
76possessions
No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Augustine Ekwe WEB · C
-1.5#76 overall in Big Sky
Offensive engine
Mason Abittan WEB · G
-0.5#88 offense in Big Sky
Defensive anchor
Chamberlain Burgess WEB · F
+1.8#13 defense in Big Sky
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WEB | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -15.6 #334 | +25.4 #19 |
| Offense | 101.0 #271 | 125.5 #2 |
| Defense | 116.5 #347 | 100.0 #70 |
| Tempo | 72.6 #55 | 73.4 #37 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weber State Wildcats | 3 | 36 | same |
| Utah State Aggies | non-Big Sky team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.