Justice Lions
Away · model win chance 0%
60
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Bank of Colorado Arena, Greeley, CO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ETUNCO -36.4model spread
155.9model total
76possessions
UNCO is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Manning Shareef UNCO · F
+1.6#17 overall in Big Sky
Offensive engine
Andrew Crawford UNCO · F
-0.1#63 offense in Big Sky
Defensive anchor
Langston Reynolds UNCO · G
-1.2#77 defense in Big Sky
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| JUS | UNCO | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -8.2 #265 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 101.1 #270 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 109.2 #250 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 70.7 #165 |
| Games this season | 216 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Lions | non-Big Sky team, not tracked | ||
| Northern Colorado Bears | 2 | 366 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.