Gonzaga Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 94%
89
Preview · Tue 11/17, 11 PM ET
· How to watch: CBSSN
· McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokane, WA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ETGONZ -19.0model spread
159.7model total
70possessions
No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jeremiah Davis MTST · G
+5.0#2 overall in Big Sky
Offensive engine
Jed Miller MTST · G
+3.3#3 offense in Big Sky
Defensive anchor
Howie Keene MTST · G
+2.6#7 defense in Big Sky
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MTST | GONZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.1 #131 | +24.7 #20 |
| Offense | 110.0 #107 | 123.3 #7 |
| Defense | 106.9 #189 | 98.7 #52 |
| Tempo | 69.7 #228 | 71.0 #139 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 1 short | 332 | -1 h |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | non-Big Sky team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.