South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Away · model win chance 83%
75
Home · model win chance 17%
64
Preview · Fri 11/20, 4 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Reed Gym, Pocatello, ID · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ET
South Dakota State Jackrabbits 7583% to win Idaho State Bengals 6417% to win
SDST -11.3model spread
138.7model total
68possessions

No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SDSTIDST
Net rating+7.8 #89-14.2 #322
Offense105.1 #18599.4 #290
Defense97.3 #43113.6 #322
Tempo67.8 #31370.7 #166
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
South Dakota State Jackrabbitsnon-Big Sky team, not tracked
Idaho State Bengals4581same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.