Away · model win chance 18%
67
High Point Panthers
Home · model win chance 82%
78
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $43 · Qubein Center, High Point, NC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ET
Montana State Bobcats 6718% to win High Point Panthers 7882% to win
HPU -10.8model spread
144.9model total
70possessions

No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

MTSTHPU
Net rating+3.1 #131+13.1 #69
Offense110.0 #107107.3 #152
Defense106.9 #18994.2 #29
Tempo69.7 #22870.9 #149
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Montana State Bobcats1 short2,075+2 h
High Point Panthersnon-Big Sky team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.