Idaho State vs. Seattle U prediction: model has Seattle U by 11
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Idaho State (0-3) visits Seattle U at Redhawk Center in Seattle Sunday at 4 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Seattle U a 11.1-point favorite, projecting a 77-66 final, and gives Seattle U a 82% chance to win. The betting market has Seattle U favored by 15.5 with a total of 144. The model leans Idaho State +15.5 and Under 144.
Players to watch: MaCarhy Morris of Idaho State, 18 points a game; Malachi Johnson of Idaho State, 9.1 points a game; Ike Palmer of Idaho State, 8.7 points a game.
Idaho State traveled about 1,067 miles to Seattle and crossed 1.0 time zone.
Model makes it SEA -11.1; the market says SEA -15. That is 3.9 points of daylight toward IDST, a strong lean on the underdog.
Under 154.511.0
Model total 143.5 against a market 154.5: a big lean to the under by 11.0.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
IDST
SEA
Net rating
-14.2 #322
-4.1 #206
Offense
99.4 #290
98.2 #304
Defense
113.6 #322
102.3 #103
Tempo
70.7 #166
70.8 #153
Games this season
3
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
