Away · model win chance 10%
66
Nevada Wolf Pack
Home · model win chance 90%
81
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET · How to watch: MW+ · Tickets from $12 · Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ET
Idaho Vandals 6610% to win Nevada Wolf Pack 8190% to win
NEV -15.5model spread
146.7model total
70possessions

No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

IDHONEV
Net rating-6.3 #236+10.5 #79
Offense103.3 #221109.5 #115
Defense109.5 #25699.0 #55
Tempo69.9 #21270.4 #182
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Idaho Vandals4517same
Nevada Wolf Packnon-Big Sky team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.