Away · model win chance 1%
68
Texas Longhorns
Home · model win chance 99%
96
Preview · Thu 11/19, 8 PM ET · How to watch: SECN+ · Tickets from $6 · Moody Center, Austin, TX · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:34 PM ET
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 681% to win Texas Longhorns 9699% to win
TEX -28.6model spread
163.7model total
73possessions

No line yet. Big Sky lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 148 rated Big Sky players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SUUTEX
Net rating-7.8 #259+26.1 #14
Offense105.4 #177122.4 #9
Defense113.2 #31596.3 #34
Tempo72.0 #8371.0 #143
Games this season53
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big Sky lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Southern Utah Thunderbirds42,822+1 h
Texas Longhornsnon-Big Sky team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.