Worcester State Lancers
Away · model win chance 1%
56
Preview · Fri 11/20, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Chace Athletic Center, Smithfield, RI
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETBRY -30.0model spread
141.9model total
75possessions
BRY is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Andre Pasha BRY · F
+1.8#11 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Roi Behar BRY · F
+0.3#18 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Keegan Harvey BRY · F
+1.0#22 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WORC | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -15.7 #336 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 90.2 #361 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 105.9 #171 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 69.0 #267 |
| Games this season | 216 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester State Lancers | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
| Bryant Bulldogs | 2 | 58 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.