Mercyhurst Lakers
Neutral · model win chance 57%
66
Preview · Sun 11/22, 3:30 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETMERC -2.0model spread
129.7model total
66possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
U-Mier Graham ALB · F
-0.3#23 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Abdoulaye Fall ALB · G
-1.0#48 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Zacharie Matulu ALB · G
+2.0#15 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UALB | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -17.5 #346 | -14.4 #324 |
| Offense | 95.3 #325 | 92.9 #350 |
| Defense | 112.8 #302 | 107.3 #204 |
| Tempo | 69.1 #263 | 67.2 #336 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAlbany Great Danes | 0 short | 0 | same |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.