Away · model win chance 42%
71
Canisius Golden Griffins
Home · model win chance 58%
73
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $25 · Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
UAlbany Great Danes 7142% to win Canisius Golden Griffins 7358% to win
CAN -2.3model spread
143.8model total
69possessions

No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UALBCAN
Net rating-17.5 #346-19.5 #353
Offense95.3 #32596.8 #316
Defense112.8 #302116.4 #344
Tempo69.1 #26369.9 #213
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When America East lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UAlbany Great Danes0 short0same
Canisius Golden Griffinsnon-America East team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.