Away · model win chance 24%
65
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Home · model win chance 76%
74
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $20 · M&T Bank Arena, Hamden, CT · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Maine Black Bears 6524% to win Quinnipiac Bobcats 7476% to win
QUIN -8.7model spread
138.4model total
69possessions

No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

MEQUIN
Net rating-11.9 #299-4.7 #216
Offense93.5 #344104.7 #200
Defense105.4 #162109.3 #253
Tempo69.5 #23769.7 #224
Games this season55
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When America East lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Maine Black Bears4322same
Quinnipiac Bobcatsnon-America East team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.