Cincinnati Bearcats
Home · model win chance 94%
80
Preview · Sun 11/22, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $5
· Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETCIN -18.6model spread
142.1model total
72possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jayden Harris UML · F
+1.0#14 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Christian Jones UML · G
+0.8#11 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Jakai Newton UML · G
+2.5#11 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UML | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.1 #179 | +18.5 #40 |
| Offense | 102.0 #250 | 111.2 #84 |
| Defense | 104.2 #139 | 92.7 #21 |
| Tempo | 71.1 #131 | 70.8 #152 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell River Hawks | 4 | 730 | same |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.