Lancaster Bible Chargers
Away · model win chance 0%
60
Preview · Sun 11/22
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $31
· Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, Baltimore, MD
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETUMBC -36.0model spread
155.6model total
78possessions
UMBC is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Riley Jacobs UMBC · F
+4.6#3 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Jovan Ristic UMBC · G
+1.9#3 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Carlos Varela UMBC · G
+0.4#29 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LBC | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -9.6 #281 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 98.1 #305 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 107.8 #214 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 72.2 #75 |
| Games this season | 216 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster Bible Chargers | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
| UMBC Retrievers | 2 | 343 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.