Western Illinois Leathernecks
Neutral · model win chance 48%
70
Preview · Fri 11/20, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETUALB -0.7model spread
141.4model total
69possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
U-Mier Graham ALB · F
-0.3#23 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Abdoulaye Fall ALB · G
-1.0#48 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Zacharie Matulu ALB · G
+2.0#15 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WIU | UALB | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -18.4 #348 | -17.5 #346 |
| Offense | 94.9 #331 | 95.3 #325 |
| Defense | 113.3 #317 | 112.8 #302 |
| Tempo | 70.4 #183 | 69.1 #263 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
| UAlbany Great Danes | 4 | 363 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.