Ohio State Buckeyes
Home · model win chance 96%
88
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: BTN
· Tickets from $10
· Schottenstein Center, Columbus, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETOSU -20.9model spread
155.2model total
72possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Riley Jacobs UMBC · F
+4.6#3 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Jovan Ristic UMBC · G
+1.9#3 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Carlos Varela UMBC · G
+0.4#29 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UMBC | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.6 #281 | +14.2 #59 |
| Offense | 98.1 #305 | 118.5 #28 |
| Defense | 107.8 #214 | 104.3 #141 |
| Tempo | 72.2 #75 | 69.7 #227 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers | 2 | 343 | same |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.