Brown Bears
Away · model win chance 24%
65
Preview · Sat 11/21, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $17
· Patrick Gymnasium, Burlington, VT
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETUVM -8.6model spread
138.4model total
65possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
John Broom UVM · G
+3.4#5 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Noah Barnett UVM · F
+6.0#1 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Momo Nkugwa UVM · G
+2.5#12 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BRWN | UVM | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.6 #280 | -1.8 #174 |
| Offense | 97.1 #311 | 108.8 #123 |
| Defense | 106.7 #184 | 110.7 #270 |
| Tempo | 69.4 #242 | 66.4 #353 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brown Bears | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
| Vermont Catamounts | 2 | 219 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.