Away · model win chance 31%
65
Lafayette Leopards
Home · model win chance 69%
71
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Kirby Sports Center, Easton, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Binghamton Bearcats 6531% to win Lafayette Leopards 7169% to win
LAF -5.8model spread
136.1model total
66possessions

No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

BINGLAF
Net rating-16.6 #342-13.2 #315
Offense99.8 #28094.5 #337
Defense116.5 #346107.7 #213
Tempo66.5 #35269.7 #226
Games this season55
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When America East lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Binghamton Bearcats3251same
Lafayette Leopardsnon-America East team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.