Massachusetts Minutemen
Home · model win chance 85%
73
Preview · Sat 11/21, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $30
· Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETMASS -12.5model spread
133.8model total
70possessions
No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Killian Gribben ME · F
+1.9#10 overall in America East
Offensive engine
Hudson Franz ME · G
-0.2#28 offense in America East
Defensive anchor
Villiam Garcia Adsten ME · G
+3.3#5 defense in America East
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ME | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -11.9 #299 | +0.6 #148 |
| Offense | 93.5 #344 | 102.4 #241 |
| Defense | 105.4 #162 | 101.8 #94 |
| Tempo | 69.5 #237 | 70.8 #160 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When America East lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears | 1 short | 70 | same |
| Massachusetts Minutemen | non-America East team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.