Away · model win chance 10%
58
Massachusetts Minutemen
Home · model win chance 90%
73
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $24 · Mullins Center, Amherst, MA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Bryant Bulldogs 5810% to win Massachusetts Minutemen 7390% to win
MASS -15.1model spread
130.9model total
69possessions

No line yet. America East lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated America East players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

BRYMASS
Net rating-15.7 #336+0.6 #148
Offense90.2 #361102.4 #241
Defense105.9 #171101.8 #94
Tempo69.0 #26770.8 #160
Games this season53
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When America East lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Bryant Bulldogs3162same
Massachusetts Minutemennon-America East team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.