Western Illinois Leathernecks
Away · model win chance 40%
71
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $25
· Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ETCAN -3.2model spread
145.9model total
70possessions
No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alex Mack CAN · G
-1.6#65 overall in Metro
Offensive engine
Vinny Sigona CAN · G
-1.5#84 offense in Metro
Defensive anchor
Nate Fouts CAN · F
+0.0#51 defense in Metro
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WIU | CAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -18.7 #348 | -19.6 #353 |
| Offense | 94.3 #343 | 96.8 #317 |
| Defense | 113.0 #305 | 116.4 #342 |
| Tempo | 70.4 #185 | 69.9 #218 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Canisius Golden Griffins | 0 short | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.