Away · model win chance 30%
64
Delaware State Hornets
Home · model win chance 70%
70
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: MEAC Network · Memorial Hall (DE), Dover, DE · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Niagara Purple Eagles 6430% to win Delaware State Hornets 7070% to win
DSU -6.2model spread
133.6model total
68possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

NIADSU
Net rating-18.5 #347-14.8 #329
Offense94.7 #33392.8 #351
Defense113.2 #311107.6 #211
Tempo70.1 #20568.2 #298
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Niagara Purple Eagles41,072same
Delaware State Hornetsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.