St. Joseph's Brooklyn Bears
Away · model win chance 0%
59
Home · model win chance 100%
90
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, CT · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
St. Joseph's Brooklyn Bears 590% to win Fairfield Stags 90100% to win
FAIR -30.5model spread
148.8model total
76possessions

FAIR is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SJBKFAIR
Net ratingnon-D-I-15.5 #334
Offensenon-D-I93.0 #349
Defensenon-D-I108.5 #232
Temponon-D-I70.4 #180
Games this season2134
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
St. Joseph's Brooklyn Bearsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Fairfield Stags30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.