Boston University Terriers
Away · model win chance 40%
67
Home · model win chance 60%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $14 · Lawler Arena, North Andover, MA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Boston University Terriers 6740% to win Merrimack Warriors 7060% to win
MRMK -3.1model spread
137.3model total
64possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

BUMRMK
Net rating-5.0 #222-5.6 #225
Offense107.8 #141100.7 #271
Defense112.8 #298106.3 #179
Tempo68.3 #29565.7 #361
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Boston University Terriersnon-MAC team, not tracked
Merrimack Warriors41,094same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.