UAlbany Great Danes
Away · model win chance 41%
73
Home · model win chance 59%
75
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $25 · Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
UAlbany Great Danes 7341% to win Canisius Golden Griffins 7559% to win
CAN -2.6model spread
148.3model total
68possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UALBCAN
Net rating-18.0 #346-19.6 #353
Offense99.2 #29296.8 #317
Defense117.2 #351116.4 #342
Tempo68.6 #28369.9 #218
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UAlbany Great Danesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Canisius Golden Griffins0 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.