Maine Black Bears
Away · model win chance 20%
65
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $20
· M&T Bank Arena, Hamden, CT
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ETQUIN -9.9model spread
139.1model total
69possessions
No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Nas Hart QUIN · F
+5.2#2 overall in Metro
Offensive engine
Tai Turnage QUIN · G
+2.0#6 offense in Metro
Defensive anchor
Keith McKnight QUIN · F
+3.2#7 defense in Metro
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ME | QUIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.0 #299 | -3.1 #188 |
| Offense | 93.7 #345 | 105.1 #188 |
| Defense | 105.7 #168 | 108.3 #224 |
| Tempo | 69.5 #240 | 70.1 #208 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Quinnipiac Bobcats | 3 | 19 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.