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UMBC Retrievers
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Preview · Mon 11/16, 6 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $35 · Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, Baltimore, MD · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Iona vs. UMBC prediction

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Iona (2-3) visits UMBC at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore Monday at 6 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model calls it a toss-up.

Players to watch: Ore Odutayo of Iona, 8.6 points a game; Keyshawn Mitchell of Iona, 7.4 points a game; Alliou Fall of Iona, 3.8 points a game.

New Rochelle, home of Iona, is the site of the Thomas Paine Cottage, built in 1793 and now a National Historic Landmark.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Iona Gaels 7050% to win UMBC Retrievers 7050% to win
IONA -0.2model spread
139.1model total
70possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

IONAUMBC
Net rating-4.0 #204-9.6 #280
Offense99.6 #28698.2 #306
Defense103.6 #128107.8 #213
Tempo68.6 #28172.2 #74
Games this season55
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Iona Gaels2203same
UMBC Retrieversnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.