Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, native Dywane Chess led Marist with 20 points and 4 3-pointers. Riley Jacobs had 23 points for UMBC. Devin Ceaser led all players with 10 rebounds for UMBC.
Marist had 11 3-pointers to UMBC's 4. Marist covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 2.9 points.
Marist coach John Dunne knows the other side of the Battle of I-87, having worked as an assistant at Siena from 1999 to 2001.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UMBC 61, MRST 72model score
-10.9model spread (home)
133.4model total
2.9points off the final margin
FavoriteMRST -4.56.4WonUnder 135.52.1Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
-4.5
135.5
-205
170
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +8 (home)ATS MRST coveredTotal 168 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UMBC
non-MAC team, not tracked
MRST
2
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
