Vermont beat Fairfield 79-67 on the road in Fairfield.
Will Davies led Vermont with 21 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists. Teaneck, New Jersey, native Declan Wucherpfennig had 25 points and 8 rebounds for Fairfield, a game high on the boards.
Vermont covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 21.2 points.
Fairfield won 92-87 at crosstown Sacred Heart last season, a year after Sacred Heart beat the Stags in the first round of the 2025 conference tournament.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UVM 64, FAIR 73model score
-9.2model spread (home)
136.6model total
21.2points off the final margin
UnderdogFAIR +1.510.7LostUnder 139.52.9Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
+1.5
139.5
105
-125
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -12 (home)ATS UVM coveredTotal 146 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UVM
non-MAC team, not tracked
FAIR
–
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
