Away · model win chance 3%
70
St. John's Red Storm
Home · model win chance 97%
93
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: truTV · Tickets from $5 · Carnesecca Arena, Queens, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Siena Saints 703% to win St. John's Red Storm 9397% to win
SJU -23.0model spread
162.5model total
76possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SIESJU
Net rating+0.8 #147+25.9 #15
Offense107.6 #145119.1 #24
Defense106.7 #18693.2 #23
Tempo73.9 #2472.1 #78
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Siena Saints3136same
St. John's Red Stormnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.