Away · model win chance 26%
64
Long Island University Sharks
Home · model win chance 74%
71
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET · How to watch: NEC Front Row · Brooklyn Athletic Center, Brooklyn, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Fairfield Stags 6426% to win Long Island University Sharks 7174% to win
LIU -7.5model spread
134.6model total
71possessions

No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

FAIRLIU
Net rating-15.5 #334-10.3 #290
Offense93.0 #34994.7 #334
Defense108.5 #232104.9 #154
Tempo70.4 #18071.0 #138
Games this season45
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Fairfield Stags349same
Long Island University Sharksnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.