Perth, Australia, native Tim Ibukunoluwa led Siena with 28 points and 12 rebounds. Isaiah Langham had 18 points for Brown. N'famara Dabo led all players with 12 rebounds for Brown.
Siena had 17 fast-break points to Brown's 5. Brown covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 12.0 points.
Siena coach Nevada Smith set the Bethany College record with 313 made 3-pointers as a four-year starter from 1998 to 2002.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Brown vs. Siena prediction: model has Siena by 17
Brown visits Siena (2-1) at MVP Arena in Albany Saturday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Siena a 16.9-point favorite, projecting an 84-67 final, and gives Siena a 92% chance to win. The betting market has Siena favored by 9.5 with a total of 158. The model leans Siena -9.5 and Under 158.
Players to watch: Tim Ibukunoluwa of Siena, 24.4 points a game; Trent Egbiremolen of Siena, 14.7 points a game; Brendan Coyle of Siena, 10.1 points a game.
Siena traveled about 578 miles to Albany.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
BRWN 67, SIE 84model score
-17.0model spread (home)
150.9model total
12.0points off the final margin
FavoriteSIE -9.57.5LostUnder 158.57.6Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-8.0
157.0
our snapshots
Latest
-4.0
159.0
-820.5
473.0
our snapshots (7 books)
Close
-9.5
158.5
-535
400
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +5 (home)ATS BRWN coveredTotal 153 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
BRWN
non-MAC team, not tracked
SIE
3
578
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
