Canisius beat Brown 86-81 on the road in Providence.
Charlotte, North Carolina, native Michael Wilson Jr. led Canisius with 31 points and 4 3-pointers. Isaiah Langham had 19 points for Brown. N'famara Dabo led all players with 10 rebounds for Brown.
Canisius had 13 3-pointers to Brown's 6. Canisius covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 23.1 points.
Buffalo sits where Lake Erie narrows into the Niagara River, and its Peace Bridge has linked the city to Fort Erie, Ontario, since 1927.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Canisius vs. Brown prediction: model has Brown by 16
Canisius (1-2) visits Brown at Pizzitola Sports Center in Providence Thursday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Brown a 16.3-point favorite, projecting a 74-57 final, and gives Brown a 91% chance to win. The betting market has Canisius favored by 2.5 with a total of 169.5. The model leans Brown +2.5 and Under 169.5.
Players to watch: Preist Ryan of Canisius, 9.3 points a game; Alex Mack of Canisius, 9.1 points a game; Jerry Guerrero of Canisius, 7 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
CAN 56, BRWN 74model score
-18.1model spread (home)
130.3model total
23.1points off the final margin
FavoriteBRWN -13.54.6LostUnder 135.55.2Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+2.5
169.5
our snapshots
Latest
+2.5
169.5
750.0
-1950.0
our snapshots (7 books)
Close
-13.5
135.5
-850
575
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin -5 (home)ATS CAN coveredTotal 167 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
CAN
2
388
1
same
BRWN
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
