Providence Friars
Home · model win chance 95%
86
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $8
· Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence, RI
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ETPROV -19.9model spread
151.5model total
73possessions
No line yet. Metro lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kedrick Curtis SHU · F
+1.7#17 overall in Metro
Offensive engine
Samson Reilly SHU · G
+2.5#3 offense in Metro
Defensive anchor
Griffin Barrouk SHU · G
+0.4#42 defense in Metro
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 162 rated Metro players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SHU | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -8.7 #269 | +13.3 #69 |
| Offense | 104.5 #201 | 107.5 #146 |
| Defense | 113.2 #310 | 94.2 #29 |
| Tempo | 71.4 #107 | 71.9 #87 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Metro lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacred Heart Pioneers | 4 | 107 | same |
| Providence Friars | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.