Murray State Racers
Neutral · model win chance 79%
78
Preview · Tue 11/17, 12 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Landers Center, Southaven, MS
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ETMUR -9.6model spread
146.3model total
72possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Imanuel Zorgvol HOF · F
+7.1#3 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Spence Wewe HOF · F
+2.9#8 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Tanner Thomas HOF · G
+3.1#11 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| HOF | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.0 #157 | +13.4 #67 |
| Offense | 102.4 #244 | 112.2 #76 |
| Defense | 102.4 #105 | 98.8 #55 |
| Tempo | 66.8 #344 | 75.3 #9 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra Pride | 3 | 976 | -1 h |
| Murray State Racers | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.