South Carolina State vs. Charleston prediction: model has Charleston by 14
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
South Carolina State visits Charleston (3-0) at TD Arena in Charleston Sunday at 2 PM ET on FloSports.
Our model makes Charleston a 14.4-point favorite, projecting an 86-72 final, and gives Charleston a 88% chance to win. The betting market has Charleston favored by 18 with a total of 160. The model leans South Carolina State +18.0 and Under 160.
Players to watch: Eli Ellis of Charleston, 10.8 points a game; Max Green of Charleston, 9.7 points a game; Braden Pierce of Charleston, 7.3 points a game.
Charleston traveled about 562 miles to Charleston.
Model makes it COFC -14.4; the market says COFC -16.5. That is 2.1 points of daylight toward SCST, a lean lean on the underdog.
Over 14611.9
Model total 157.9 against a market 146: a big lean to the over by 11.9.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
SCST
COFC
Net rating
-10.2 #288
+3.6 #125
Offense
95.4 #325
112.5 #70
Defense
105.7 #168
108.9 #240
Tempo
73.5 #33
71.8 #93
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
