Away · model win chance 65%
65
Saint Peter's Peacocks
Home · model win chance 35%
61
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $17 · Yanitelli Center, Jersey City, NJ · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Stony Brook Seawolves 6565% to win Saint Peter's Peacocks 6135% to win
STBK -4.5model spread
125.7model total
64possessions

No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

STBKSPU
Net rating-6.6 #243-19.1 #351
Offense104.2 #20587.5 #365
Defense110.8 #275106.5 #183
Tempo68.0 #30666.1 #357
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Stony Brook Seawolves351same
Saint Peter's Peacocksnon-CAA team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.